Collaborators: Dalena Tran, Julian Siravo
Support: Antikythera
SCRYOPS examines the evolution of predictive thought and its current application in addressing climate change through simulations. It traces the shift from prophetic, destiny-oriented foresight to post-prophetic, statistically driven models that emerged with advancements in technology and statistical theory. This transition is crucial for understanding how we now approach the prediction and management of climate-related disasters. The project highlights the IPCC's use of Integrated Assessment Models to simulate future interactions and assess the risks of climate change, underscoring the importance of recursive simulation in refining our forecasts and responses. It delineates four contemporary modes of foresight—actuarial, resilience, logistical, and interdiction—that vary in their approach to managing future uncertainties and risks. These modes are instrumental in developing strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change. SCRYOPS posits that our ability to envision and prepare for future scenarios through simulation not only reflects a sophisticated understanding of risk but also represents a form of planetary responsibility and a means to avert disaster. The project ultimately suggests that our engagement with simulations is a critical aspect of contemporary life, offering a means to navigate the complexities of an uncertain future in the face of climate change.

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